Much has been written about millennials, but how much do we really understand about their expectations of work? Demographic shifts show the steady creep upwards of life expectancy in many parts of the world, whilst at the same time birth‑rates are in rapid decline in most of the old economies. Even Latin America, the US and Asia are heading towards a ‘greying’ of the population. These dramatic shifts will lead to an unprecedented shortage of younger workers and the need to keep employees working until well past current retirement ages. The idea that companies would source talent needs from an unlimited supply of workers from emerging markets has not materialised. Talent shortages are just as critical in China, India, Eastern Europe and parts of South America.
As a consequence of these factors, fewer younger people will be working to support a significantly larger older generation in the future. Even if we assume that older generations stay in work for longer, it is clear that the millennials will have a significant role to play in driving businesses forward. The race to capture the best has always been challenging, but with even less talent available in tomorrow’s world, we can expect a talent crunch which will have a significant impact on the world of work. Business success is driven by having the right people to deliver the strategy and create growth. By 2020 we believe people supply will be the most critical driving factor for business success. Companies may go to extreme lengths in their search for talent, and once they have it, they will take measures to keep people ‘locked in’ to their organisations. Without this talent, they will be unable to compete.
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